Jul 07, 2022
In Welcome to the Tech Forum
I still stand by this view to this day, but think that the time is likely to be earlier. The reason is that sino-us relations have deteriorated. Xi jinping's greatest concern for military unification of taiwan is u.S.—or, to a certain extent, the west—intervention, including the damage to china's economy and the international environment in which military intervention occurs, a factor that has been a factor in beijing's past hesitancy toward military unification. However, the overall ghost mannequin effect deterioration of u.S.-china relations in recent years, especially the confrontation between the u.S. And china exacerbated by the epidemic, has made this concern a reality to a certain extent. In the future, if the u.S.’s accountability and claims trigger the cold war, and other western countries will follow suit, forming a strong confrontation between china and the west, the consequences for china will be similar to that of a war with china, then xi jinping will also remove this. The burden of "Worry" can let go of the military reunification of taiwan. This does not take into account that if there is turmoil in china, beijing will transfer the crisis through military unification of taiwan. Of course, the premise is that xi jinping believes that in a war between taiwan and the united states, china will win. Regarding this point, judging from the information currently contacted, most believe that the pla is more likely to win. Although u.S.-china relations and the cross-strait situation will accelerate beijing's military reunification, I also agree with qiao liang's view that beijing cannot take advantage of the epidemic's impact on the united states to rashly launch a war. In order to reduce international interference, there must be a well-known reason for beijing to unify taiwan by force, that is, the three situations listed in article 8 of the anti-secession law. Although tsai ing-wen will go further on the road to taiwan independence, she will be careful not to let beijing get caught, and she will not blatantly amend the constitution or hold a referendum on reunification and independence. After all, removing "National reunification" from the "Regulations on people's relations across the taiwan strait" does not mean amending the constitution.